Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Stats Can Be Deceiving

We all know the Mets have been playing better since the dismissal of Willie Randolph. They are hitting in the clutch better, and not leaving as many runners on base (LOB)...or are they?

Through 100 games this year, not counting tonight's 6-3 victory where they had 14 men LOB, the Mets have left 773 men on base, an average of 7.73 men LOB per game.

In games the Mets have won, they have a total of 427 men left on base, for an average of 8.06 men LOB per game.

In games the Mets have lost, they have a total of 346 men left on base, for an average of 7.36 men left on base per game.

Here is where it gets interesting. Under Willie Randolph, where the Mets had a 34-35 record, and the Mets were getting hammered by the press daily, they had a total of 529 men LOB, which is an average of 7.67 men LOB per game.

Now, under Jerry Manuel, who we all feel has gotten much more from this complacent team, the Mets, in 31 games, and a 19-12 record, have left 244 men on base, for an average of 7.87 men LOB.
I was very surprised after compiling these stats, though the Mets seem like they are getting more timely hits, they are still leaving .20 more men on base than under Randolph's guidance.
Another stat: the Mets record under Randolph was 34-35. Under Manuel, the Mets record is 20-12, for a season record of 54-47.
Are statistics deceiving?


Long Island Met Fan said...

So I guess now you can say that there getting that clutch hit where they didnt get it before?

metsfan73 said...

It reall surprised me. I thought for sure their LOB would have been much higher under Gump. They seem to be hitting better; look at Reyes and DelStatue.
Stats can be deceiving. The only one that matters is W's